Overnight Moves The markets reflected risk-off caution with the ZAR strengthening while the USD pulls back. Precious metals dipped, with Gold ending relatively flat, Silver down 1.7%, Palladium up 1.6%, and Copper up 1.4%. The VIX rose 5.1% which signals volatility, and Tencent is up marginally by 0.2% which reflects broader China tech resilience. Overall, […]
The Daily Trades 16/02/2026 Read More
It’s been a bit of a bumpy ride these last few weeks and there are many mixed signals around. Thus, we are trying to hold our opinions rather loosely and stay willing to change our minds whenever new evidence emerges that might contradict our views. Dancing close to the door is what we are constantly reminding ourselves of, as we might have to bail on some of our ideas rather quickly if our views turn out to be wrong. That said, let’s look at some trade ideas.
Dancing close to the door Read More
We’re keeping it short and sweet this week, as we think that is likely the right positioning on DM indices right now.
Staying flexible in your views and convictions is a vital skill if you plan to survive in markets for a long time. At the end of the day, being right or wrong hardly matters. Being able to change your mind when you are wrong and remain convicted when you are right is really the only skill that deserves to be trained.
One of the more important lessons we’ve learned from participating in markets for the last almost two decades is that the Kansas City Shuffle is very often a very reliable move. What are we talking about you ask? Well, when everyone is looking right, go left. Still, what are we talking about? In a nutshell, the market has become very bullish, despite the enormous amounts of negative economic data and overall headwinds.
Once again, we come to you with charts that are bullish in an economic landscape that is everything but. Like we’ve said many times though, our job as traders is to follow the market and take the opportunities it presents to us, not to ‘make sense of it all’. So, while we could ramble on about all the various macro headwinds like U.S. government and student debt, stressed liquidity and bank balance sheets, looming recession and so many other factors that cause worry, we will not. Instead, we will simply quote Jesse Livermore for the millionth time and say ‘a bull market climbs a wall of worry’. It’s buy time!
Last week we’d harped on about how the bear is here and things were looking dire. We got it wrong. Does that mean the bull is back?
Does that mean the bull is back? Read More
Last week we saw a bit of a squeeze from most global markets while China takes a break for Lunar New Year. We expect much the same this week, although in the second half fortunes could change as U.S. data and the FOMC interest rate decision could turn the tide. So, to squeeze or not to squeeze… that is the question?
To squeeze or not to squeeze Read More
Well, well, well… the world is once again laughing at bitcoin and I am once again advocating that it is time to buy bitcoin. Sadly, this week I do not have much time to write this as our wonderful power utility has made my life rather challenging this Sunday and it is already well past 9pm, so I encourage you to look through the previous posts I’ve done about bitcoin and crypto’s and have a read
You can almost the fear and confusion on twitter this evening. Rumours abound that Credit Suisse is on the verge of going bust thanks to some pension fund liabilities. So… Credit Suisse = Black Monday?
Credit Suisse = Black Monday? Read More
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