Time to wobble

The market has remained persistently strong. Relatively at least… U.S. markets are slightly higher, but locally markets are slightly lower. So, no real fireworks just yet. Perhaps the momentum finally shifts down, and we see the market come off a little? Particularly in the over-hyped tech sector. Let’s look at some charts and get a better idea of why we’re thinking what we’re thinking.

Time to wobble Read More

Kansas City Shuffle

One of the more important lessons we’ve learned from participating in markets for the last almost two decades is that the Kansas City Shuffle is very often a very reliable move. What are we talking about you ask? Well, when everyone is looking right, go left. Still, what are we talking about? In a nutshell, the market has become very bullish, despite the enormous amounts of negative economic data and overall headwinds.

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It’s looking a little bullish

Well, we’re about ready to get some egg on our faces again by saying that the market is starting to look a little more bullish. We’ve tried that not so long ago and got proper whipsaw for our troubles, but once again we’re going to put it out there. The fact of the matter is that there is a ton of fear, and probably two tons of good reasons why the market should be crashing. It’s not though. Thus, we block out the news and fear and FUD, and we look at the charts. And by the looks of things, it’s looking a little bullish.

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Short-term bullish trends have broken

Another week of painfully low volume markets locally, and nothing but a slow sideways grind in the offshore world. This current environment continues to reinforce our bearish view. Markets are feeling a little like they are about to test some key support levels as the current short-term bullish trends have broken. Let’s look at some charts and get a feel for what to expect next week.

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It’s tough to be a bear

Lat week did not go as expected. We’d thought that after the FOMC rate decision on Wednesday, that the market would come under some pressure. Instead, the market rallied its face off for two days and only showed some weakness on Friday. Granted, the Friday weakness has us feeling a little pessimistic going into next week, but it is tough to be a bear at the moment

It’s tough to be a bear Read More

To squeeze or not to squeeze

Last week we saw a bit of a squeeze from most global markets while China takes a break for Lunar New Year. We expect much the same this week, although in the second half fortunes could change as U.S. data and the FOMC interest rate decision could turn the tide. So, to squeeze or not to squeeze… that is the question?

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