To squeeze or not to squeeze

Last week we saw a bit of a squeeze from most global markets while China takes a break for Lunar New Year. We expect much the same this week, although in the second half fortunes could change as U.S. data and the FOMC interest rate decision could turn the tide. So, to squeeze or not to squeeze… that is the question?

To squeeze or not to squeeze Read More

China waking up

Trying to figure out if this bear market is about to end or not is proving rather difficult. There are signs that inflation has topped out and that Emerging Markets are leading disinflation. Odds are good that we will likely see a few more interest rate hikes, although not as aggressive as before, to give us the ‘higher for longer’ regime that has so clearly been communicated by central banks. On one side we think that the slowing easing inflation is a product of higher interest rates and global economies slowly grinding deeper into recession, while on the other side China is waking up and there can be no doubt that this is hugely positive for Emerging Markets and commodities prices in general. Will that reignite inflation, or will that merely push Emerging Markets to outperform Developed Markets as they capitalise on China waking up? Time will tell if this is truly the turning point or not, but odds are good that we are in for a strong short-squeezy kind of week.

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Some simple trade ideas to kick off 2023

Hello and welcome to 2023! We’re in for another interesting and intense year by the looks of things. We’ll get to putting together a full ‘expectations for the year ahead’ post in due course. For now though, we wanted to share some simple bigger picture trade ideas to kick off 2023 and shake off the cobwebs from not only our blog, but also our charting eye. We’ll get into the local market again over the weekend, but for now let’s get started with the larger markets. So, let’s get straight into it and see what the charts have to offer.

Some simple trade ideas to kick off 2023 Read More

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