Staying flexible in your views and convictions is a vital skill if you plan to survive in markets for a long time. At the end of the day, being right or wrong hardly matters. Being able to change your mind when you are wrong and remain convicted when you are right is really the only skill that deserves to be trained.
Not all bears get honey. We expected markets to come off last week and pretty much exactly the opposite happened. Up she goes!
The market has remained persistently strong. Relatively at least… U.S. markets are slightly higher, but locally markets are slightly lower. So, no real fireworks just yet. Perhaps the momentum finally shifts down, and we see the market come off a little? Particularly in the over-hyped tech sector. Let’s look at some charts and get a better idea of why we’re thinking what we’re thinking.
One of the more important lessons we’ve learned from participating in markets for the last almost two decades is that the Kansas City Shuffle is very often a very reliable move. What are we talking about you ask? Well, when everyone is looking right, go left. Still, what are we talking about? In a nutshell, the market has become very bullish, despite the enormous amounts of negative economic data and overall headwinds.
Kansas City Shuffle Read More »
The American Bull stumbles blindly forward, without caution, directly into a looming credit crisis. Not perturbed by reality, the American Bull just keeps rallying without a care in the world, resolute to let the next generation pay for its foolishness. And so, headline U.S. Equities Indices, just, keep, trading, higher.
Perhaps we see a strong reversal of the Rand on Monday morning now that the U.S. ambassador has done a 180? All we know is that we don’t know. These are confusing markets. Best to remain cautious and defensive and ‘take the quick turn’ – as the saying goes.
The tug of war between the bulls and bears is intense and volatility is wild. Our stance is to use any strength the might be available in the week to come as an opportunity to get out of stocks and manage our exposure. The time for nimble positioning is upon us, and we must stay flexible and willing to react to a fast changing market.
Well, alright then. This market is wild. Three weeks ago we ran for cover saying the ‘the bear is here’, the following week we’d thought that maybe because the market failed to push a new low that maybe ‘the bull is back’. It turns out that the market is full of bull… and last week the wheels properly fell off the bus. So, welcome to whipsaw city, where nobody knows what is going to happen next, but everyone can be sure they’ll get injured! What a vibe -_-
Last week we’d harped on about how the bear is here and things were looking dire. We got it wrong. Does that mean the bull is back?
Does that mean the bull is back? Read More »
We’re going to start off this weeks post by telling our readers the same thing we’ve been telling our clients for over a year now. Be careful, trade smaller, trade less often, protect your capital. The market is wild and will likely stay wild for a while. Trust us, taking chunky losses is scary and will almost certainly lead to you losing the opportunity to make the big trades when they finally come around. Be patient and conservative. The bear is here and is not taking prisoners.
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