U.S. commentary
So, in the depths of the COVID gloom there was talk of a depression and stocks dropping another 50% from the lows. There was absolute conviction that you should not be buying. Now, after one of the most insane V-shaped recoveries we have ever seen, most analysts tell you to buy Apple, Tesla and anything tech-related as we have entered a new type of world. And yes, a V-shaped recovery… as most analysts say it isn’t happening, but it’s a clear V – as you see in the chart of the Nasdaq. Anyway, the consensus has swung from “don’t buy” when it was low to “buy everything” here and now? We disagree. We think it’s time to go risk-off.

