The market has remained persistently strong. Relatively at least… U.S. markets are slightly higher, but locally markets are slightly lower. So, no real fireworks just yet. Perhaps the momentum finally shifts down, and we see the market come off a little? Particularly in the over-hyped tech sector. Let’s look at some charts and get a better idea of why we’re thinking what we’re thinking.
One of the more important lessons we’ve learned from participating in markets for the last almost two decades is that the Kansas City Shuffle is very often a very reliable move. What are we talking about you ask? Well, when everyone is looking right, go left. Still, what are we talking about? In a nutshell, the market has become very bullish, despite the enormous amounts of negative economic data and overall headwinds.
Once again, we come to you with charts that are bullish in an economic landscape that is everything but. Like we’ve said many times though, our job as traders is to follow the market and take the opportunities it presents to us, not to ‘make sense of it all’. So, while we could ramble on about all the various macro headwinds like U.S. government and student debt, stressed liquidity and bank balance sheets, looming recession and so many other factors that cause worry, we will not. Instead, we will simply quote Jesse Livermore for the millionth time and say ‘a bull market climbs a wall of worry’. It’s buy time!
Like we said last week, it doesn’t need to make sense to work. The little bull that could is doing all it can to get up and rallying, and we’re not about to stand in its way.
The little bull that could Read More
The American Bull stumbles blindly forward, without caution, directly into a looming credit crisis. Not perturbed by reality, the American Bull just keeps rallying without a care in the world, resolute to let the next generation pay for its foolishness. And so, headline U.S. Equities Indices, just, keep, trading, higher.
Perhaps we see a strong reversal of the Rand on Monday morning now that the U.S. ambassador has done a 180? All we know is that we don’t know. These are confusing markets. Best to remain cautious and defensive and ‘take the quick turn’ – as the saying goes.
The tug of war between the bulls and bears is intense and volatility is wild. Our stance is to use any strength the might be available in the week to come as an opportunity to get out of stocks and manage our exposure. The time for nimble positioning is upon us, and we must stay flexible and willing to react to a fast changing market.
Where the picture for the bulls start to unravel a little is when you look at Oil and the VIX in particular, and also when you consider that the S&P 500 has not managed to clear resistance. Let’s look at some charts and we’ll show you what we mean.
Bulls start to unravel Read More
Well, we’re about ready to get some egg on our faces again by saying that the market is starting to look a little more bullish. We’ve tried that not so long ago and got proper whipsaw for our troubles, but once again we’re going to put it out there. The fact of the matter is that there is a ton of fear, and probably two tons of good reasons why the market should be crashing. It’s not though. Thus, we block out the news and fear and FUD, and we look at the charts. And by the looks of things, it’s looking a little bullish.
It’s looking a little bullish Read More
Well, alright then. This market is wild. Three weeks ago we ran for cover saying the ‘the bear is here’, the following week we’d thought that maybe because the market failed to push a new low that maybe ‘the bull is back’. It turns out that the market is full of bull… and last week the wheels properly fell off the bus. So, welcome to whipsaw city, where nobody knows what is going to happen next, but everyone can be sure they’ll get injured! What a vibe -_-
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