Well, alright then. This market is wild. Three weeks ago we ran for cover saying the ‘the bear is here’, the following week we’d thought that maybe because the market failed to push a new low that maybe ‘the bull is back’. It turns out that the market is full of bull… and last week the wheels properly fell off the bus. So, welcome to whipsaw city, where nobody knows what is going to happen next, but everyone can be sure they’ll get injured! What a vibe -_-
We’re going to start off this weeks post by telling our readers the same thing we’ve been telling our clients for over a year now. Be careful, trade smaller, trade less often, protect your capital. The market is wild and will likely stay wild for a while. Trust us, taking chunky losses is scary and will almost certainly lead to you losing the opportunity to make the big trades when they finally come around. Be patient and conservative. The bear is here and is not taking prisoners.
Well, another very difficult week is behind us and to be honest we think there are many more difficult weeks ahead over the next few months. The realities of a global recession are starting to ‘hit home’ so to speak and global equity markets are not happy. Although we are seeing nothing but shorts in the shorter-term, we do think the most important message to get across in difficult times such as these is two-fold:
Jackson Hole? More like Jackson pit of despair! Markets did not like Jerome Powell’s speech. Where do markets go from here?
More like Jackson pit of despair Read More
The market has been really difficult these past few months. Well, to be honest, these past few years. It seems though that finally the retail army has been filled with fear and we saw retail flows sell en masse last week (the week before we saw institutional selling) while institutions started buying again. Although this by itself is not a reliable indicator on which to take action, it does show that ‘the smart money’ is starting to nibble at equities again. There is also around $33bln worth of US equity buying to do before the end of the quarter in order for pensions funds to rebalance and remain withing legislated asset allocations. Add quarter end and the ‘window dressing’ phenomenon and you the makings of a bull potion. Bigger picture wise, there is no real change and the world economy still looks very much in trouble, but in the short-term, Friday’s bounce might have legs for another few days.
To keep things relatively simple, this week we are posting 12 charts we’re watching. It might be a bit of a slow week ahead, although we think that both local and U.S. retail sales numbers will be decent catalysts.
12 charts we’re watching Read More
Once again we’re doing things a little differently this week, just because we can really. So instead of giving some broader market trade ideas as we usually do, we’d thought that we would do a CFD account update and share the current open CFD trades in our managed CFD accounts.
Our view has been that one should treat cryptocurrencies much like you would treat any normal individual stock in your portfolio. With the recent rout in cryptocurrencies, we think that it’s time to buy bitcoin. There are many loud voices out there right now (let’s call them paper hands) that are ranting on about how bitcoin is dead… ignore them. Treat it like a normal stock, don’t take massive (or geared) exposure and don’t bother about the opinions of the paper hands. It’s time to buy bitcoin.
It’s time to buy Bitcoin Read More
Very often we overcomplicate things for ourselves. The easy truth is that trend following it often the best way to interact with markets. Since the trend is currently very firmly up, we’re happy to toe the trend following line for as long as the trend stays in tact.
Trend following for the win! Read More
We’ve said a few time in the past that patience is key. The main benefit of being patient when it comes to trading is that we can wait for the really good setups to mature and then take trades in which the odds are firmly skewed in our favour. Some of the stocks we’ve been watching for a long time have finally triggered buy signals.
Patience is key to opportunism Read More
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