We are excited to host another series of traders meet up events. It’s been a long lockdown, followed by what is turning out to be a pretty brutal bear market. We’re pretty sure most of us could use a drink 🍻 As is our DNA, this event is for traders, by traders. There will be
You can almost the fear and confusion on twitter this evening. Rumours abound that Credit Suisse is on the verge of going bust thanks to some pension fund liabilities. So… Credit Suisse = Black Monday?
Credit Suisse = Black Monday? Read More
Well, another very difficult week is behind us and to be honest we think there are many more difficult weeks ahead over the next few months. The realities of a global recession are starting to ‘hit home’ so to speak and global equity markets are not happy. Although we are seeing nothing but shorts in the shorter-term, we do think the most important message to get across in difficult times such as these is two-fold:
Markets bounced pretty hard last week on the back of an options-led squeeze, and it’s fairly likely that we see more of the same in the coming week.
Ok, ok, spring just started here in South Africa… but in the northern hemisphere winter is fast approaching and looking at all the charts, economic indicators and just general happenings in the conflict with Russia… let’s just say that things are looking pretty dire. Welcome to winter northern hemisphere, I hope you are ready for a cold one.
Jackson Hole? More like Jackson pit of despair! Markets did not like Jerome Powell’s speech. Where do markets go from here?
More like Jackson pit of despair Read More
It is a confusing time to be involved in stock markets. On one hand we have rising stock prices and breaking down trends, while on the other hand (Darren) we see continued signs of economic slowdown in the U.S. This paints a confusing picture and honestly makes it difficult being a bear.
Although markets have rallied hard in the last few weeks, we are not convinced that we are out of the woods. How much more squeeze is left in this rally?
How much more squeeze? Read More
Investor sentiment is at almost historic lows. Most of the time it pays to be a contrarian, although sometimes is better to just be patient.
The time is finally here and soon we will know the fate of markets for the next six months. It’s all about earnings as companies start to report 2nd quarter numbers this week. If we see that earnings is down broadly, we think that could lead to the second leg lower of this current bear market. Until now, despite high inflation and the odd absolutely counterintuitive personal stimulus cheques American’s have been getting, corporate earnings have been rather robust. The post-covid world has served the world’s largest corporations well… but has the money printer eventually managed to do more harm than good? In our view, yes.
It’s all about earnings Read More
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