We’re not sure where to start. We have ever seen anything like what has been happening over the last three weeks before. These truly are extraordinary times.The Fear & Greed Index hit 1 last week, the CBOE Volatility Index hit highs last seen in 1987 and 2008 with the highest print at 77.6. This was real, unfiltered panic. The question now is; is it over?
Weekly game plan 15 March 2020 Read More
The last few weeks have been some of the most extreme times in recent market history, at least from our perspective. We’ve seen a pretty extreme sell off, largely driven by fears around the coronavirus. What is of even more concern to us is that the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank cut interest rates by 50 bps in an emergency rate cut. Historically, when the FED responds this drastically it is usually a sure sign that something big is happening.
Weekly game plan 8 March 2020 Read More
We also saw that Chinese PMI numbers came in the lowest on record. In other words, lower manufacturing and production activity in China than even in the depths of the 2008/9 financial crisis. Lower than ever recorded. Considering that China now makes up almost 20% of the global economy and accounts for two-thirds of global growth, this record low PMI reading is truly concerning. The real question now is, when do factories come back online?
Weekly game plan 1 March 2020 Read More
Again, it’s hard to form a strong opinion on what is most likely to be the overall theme for the week ahead. The coronavirus is a serious issue and is impacting global markets and sentiment. The situation is confusing and scary. This is forcing money back into the the U.S. in a search for safety.
Weekly game plan 9 February 2020 Read More
The news this past weekend has been dominated by the Coronavirus. It seems that the rate of infection is accelerating and that it is managing to reach other countries, with both Japan and Australia confirming cases of infection. Markets might react poorly.
Weekly game plan 26 January 2020 Read More
We’ve had continued issues around Load Shedding and various other economic ailments, and thus our Rand has weakened somewhat. This weaker Rand narrative is what we think is likely to drive our market in the coming week.
Weekly game plan 12 January 2020 Read More
Welcome back load shedding. And also welcome back war in the Middle East. The combined impact of these two factors will likely make it a very difficult week for the Rand.
Weekly game plan 5 January 2020 Read More
And just like that, it’s Christmas time. The market will likely be very quiet during the next week or two, but do not let the low volume environment fool you, there will still be opportunities.
Weekly game plan 22 December 2019 Read More
Now that the Moody’s news is out of the system and we can once again place our trust in the charts, there are some interesting opportunities brewing for the week ahead.
Weekly game plan 11 November 2019 Read More
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